Saturday, October 10, 2015

DFS Value Picks : NFL Week 5

Definition: A value pick is a player that is likely to outscore the designated price and allow you to allocate the additional cap space to other higher priced players.

NFL Week 5 Value Picks:

Marcus Mariota, QB, TEN | Salary: $6,000 (DK) - Mariota faces a weak Buffalo pass defense this week and looks to pick up where he left off in Week 3, already having thrown 8 touchdowns this season. Mariota can also be an effective runner and could take off on some designed QB plays.

Ronnie Hillman, RB, DEN | Salary: $4,900 (DK) - C.J. Anderson has been a huge fantasy disappointment so far this season and Hillman has shown that he can outproduce him. This week the Broncos could give Hillman 50% of the carries if not more. Hopefully, Hillman can bust another big run like he did in Week 4 against a porous Oakland run defense. 

Duke Johnson Jr., RB, CLE | Salary: $4,600 (DK) - Although Johnson will still be splitting carries with his counterpart Isaiah Crowell, he's become a great addition to the Cleveland offense. With his ability to catch passes out of the backfield (9 receptions for 85 yards and a TD in Week 4) Johnson is a nice FLEX option this week.

Rueben Randle, WR, NYG | Salary: $4,400 (DK) - Randle has solidified his spot as the WR2 in New York. Although Odell Beckham Jr. will get the majority of the targets, Randle is an option for Eli Manning in the Red Zone and in situations where defenses have all their attention on OBJ. Eli should have plenty of room to throw against San Francisco, so Randle could put up a decent game .

Martavis Bryant, WR, PIT | Salary: $3,800 (DK) - Assuming he's healthy, Bryant will add a deep threat for Michael Vick. He's a risky play just now coming off his four game suspension but could come up with one big play making him worth a flyer this week at FLEX.

Pierre Garcon, WR, WAS | Salary: $5,300 (DK) - Garcon has remained pretty consistent through Week 4, so he's a reliable option. However, this week he faces the Atlanta Falcons who allow an average of 305.2 passing yards to opponents.

Delanie Walker, TE, TEN | Salary: $3,800 (DK) - Walker should be heavily targeted by Marcus Mariota this week against Buffalo. He caught seven of his ten targets in Week 3 against Indianapolis.

Friday, October 2, 2015

DFS NFL Week 4 DraftKings Lineup

Week 4 DraftKings Lineup

Here is one of the head-to-head lineups I have going into week 4 on DraftKings:

QB: Tyrod Taylor : $5,800
RB:  Latavius Murray : $6,300
RB: Joseph Randle : $5,500
WR: Randall Cobb : $7,400
WR: Julio Jones (Q) : $9,300
WR: Robert Woods : $3,100
TE: Jason Witten : $4,400
FLEX: James Jones : $5,300
DST: Atlanta Falcons : $2,900

Use this as a guide if you'd like a nice QB/WR combo to build around this week. I love the match-up the Bills offense has this week against the Giants. Keep an eye on the status on Julio Jones but he normally plays through and performs through this injury.

DFS Value Picks : NFL Week 4

Definition: A value pick is a player that is likely to outscore the designated price and allow you to allocate the additional cap space to other higher priced players.

NFL Week 4 Value Picks:

Andy Dalton, QB, CIN | Salary: $5,900 (DK) - Dalton faces a Kansas City defense in week 4 that fares well against the run but has a weak secondary. Look for him to continue his hot streak this week.

Karlos Williams, RB, BUF | Salary: $3,400 (DK) - With LeSean McCoy now officially ruled out this week against New York, Williams will have a great opportunity as he'll receive the majority of the carries for the Bills. The Giants have done well against the run, allowing an average of 74.7 yards per game but hopefully the poor Giants pass defense will allow Buffalo many red zone opportunities and goal line carries.

Joseph Randle, RB, DAL | Salary: $5,500 (DK) - Randle has another favorable match-up against New Orleans, allowing 126 rushing yards per game. Weeden has shown that he has the ability to keep this offense moving, so expect a nice ROI from Randle although he still will lose a few touched to Darren McFadden.

Leonard Hankerson, WR, ATL | Salary: $3,700 (DK) - Hankerson has established himself as Atlanta's WR2. He could see additional targets this week as the Atlanta backfield heals (Devonta Freeman remains questionable and Tevin Coleman will likely be ruled out) and Houston won't allow the Falcons as much running room as Dallas.

Marvin Jones, WR, CIN | Salary: $3,800 (DK) - After a quiet Week 1, Jones has now scored in back-to-back games and is a red zone target for Andy Dalton.

Amari Cooper, WR, OAK | Salary: $6,300 (DK) - As Derrick Carr's number one option in Oakland, high production is expected to continue against the Bears this week. Utilize him at this price while you can as his stock will likely continue to rise.

Charles Clay, TE, BUF | Salary: $3,300 (DK) - Buffalo ranks 10th in the NFL for passing yards per game thanks to a great start from QB Tyrod Taylor. Clay should be a target for Taylor this week since Sammy Watkins has been ruled out and he has demonstrated he can make things happen after the catch. 

Saturday, September 26, 2015

DFS Value Picks : NFL Week 3

Definition: A value pick is a player that is likely to outscore the designated price and allow you to allocate the additional cap space to other higher priced players.

NFL Week 3 Value Picks: 

Carson Palmer, QB, ARI | Salary: $6,600 (DK) - With 7 TDs on the season thus far, Palmer is set up for another big week against a mediocre San Francisco defense.

Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL | Salary: $4,600 (DK) - Starter Tevin Coleman will miss week 3 with a rib injury so Freeman gets the opportunity to take back the starting role and realy showcase what he's got. A great pass catcher out of the backfield, Freeman will see a lot of opportunity against Dallas.

Darren Mcfadden, RB, DAL | Salary: $4,000 (DK) - I think Dallas relies heavily on the run game this week to help Brandon Weeden get up to speed. You could see as many as 15 carries from Mcfadden this week and if that offensive line can get it together, he may break off some long runs against Atlanta.

James Jones, WR, GB | Salary: $4,800 (DK) - I made this recommendation last week and I'll make it again this week. The veteran wide receiver gets looks from Arron Rodgers in the end zone and still has the ability to rack up some good yardage numbers.

Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA | Salary: $4,000 (DK) - After two weeks Baldwin finds himself at the top of the list in Seattle for targets even when on the field with new TE Jimmy Graham. Last week, seven straight receptions for 92 and a TD. I'll take that for $4,000.

Ted Ginn Jr., WR, CAR | Salary: $3,300 (DK) - Targeted heavily last week and capable of scoring on kick returns, Ginn is worth a look. Who becomes the primary target in Carolina remains to be seen but if Ginn continues to be targeted, you could benefit from a big game when others were looking elsewhere.

Jared Cook, TE, STL | Salary: $2,800 (DK) - I know it's not saying much but Cook is Foles' favorite target. A great value against Pittsburgh which is near the bottom of the list when it comes to passing yards allowed per game.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

DFS NFL Week 3 FanDuel Lineup

Week 3 FanDuel Lineup

Here is one of the head-to-head lineups I have going into week 3 on FanDuel:

QB: Derek Carr : $6,600
RB: Jamal Charles : $8,700
RB: Le'Veon Bell : $8,800
WR: Allen Robinson : $6,600
WR: Travis Benjamin : $5,600
WR: James Jones : $5,700
TE: Rob Gronkowski : $8,400
K: Matt Bryant : $4,800
D: Carolina Panthers : $4,600

Use this as a guide if you'd like a strong set of RBs. Still $200 to play with if you want to change up QB, WR but I feel like Carr has a great matchup against Cleveland. I do have some concern with Travis Benjamin due to his low receptions but he does a lot with the ball when he gets it; high risk/reward play of the week.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

DFS Value Picks : NFL Week 2

Definition: A value pick is a player that is likely to outscore the designated price and allow you to allocate the additional cap space to other higher priced players.  

NFL Week 2 Value Picks: 

Matt Ryan, QB, ATL | Salary: $7,100 (DK) - Atlanta is facing a New York defense that gave up 356 passing yards last week. Ryan has plenty of weapons to shred NY through the air.

Jay Cutler, QB, CHI | Salary: $6,000 (DK) - I think Cutler has an opportunity to put up some nice numbers this week against an Arizona defense that allowed 354 passing yards against the Saints. 

Carlos Hyde, RB, SF | Salary: $5,100 (DK) - Hyde will continue to get a heavy workload this week against Pittsburgh. Even though The steelers held the Patriots to just 80 yards rushing, the Pats didn't seem too focused on the run (Dion Lewis had 15 carries).

Darren Sproles, RB, PHI | Salary: $3,500 (DK) - Sam Bradford will continue to look for Sproles in check down situations and is valuable in Chip Kelly's dynamic offense. 

Donte Moncrief, WR, IND | Salary: $4,600 (DK) - Another example here of where you can take advantage of an injury situation. Even with T.Y. Hilton playing, Moncrief had 11 targets for 6 receptions and a TD. I expect Andrew Luck to look to him often given that Andre Johnson can still catch the ball but just doesn't seem to be able to get downfield with the same speed as he used to.
James Jones, WR, GB | Salary: $4,700 (DK) - Aaron Rodgers' favorite target last week, James Jones is a great pick up at this price. This week, Green Bay faces the Seahawks and last week they showed they aren't the stout defense they were last year. 

Cole Beasley, WR, DAL | Salary: $3,300 (DK) - Dez Bryant's injury will force Tony Romo to distribute the ball more evenly and I expect Beasley to get a fair amount of targets. 

Heath Miller, TE, PIT | Salary: $3,500 (DK) - The veteran tight end should continue to be the safety blanket for Ben Roethlisberger. He was second in recieving last week to Antonio Brown.

Tuesday, September 1, 2015

DFS Value Picks : NFL Week 1

As always, pre-season games come with unfortunate injuries that provide opportunities for other players to step up and produce for your Daily Fantasy lineups. Other scenarios, like position battles or suspensions also produce situations where you can find value in players that may not have previously been viewed as relevant.

Definition: A value pick is a player that is likely to outscore the designated price and allow you to allocate the additional cap space to other higher priced players

NFL Week 1 Value Picks: 

Sam Bradford, QB, PHI | Salary: $6,900 (DK) - Lots of snaps, lots of weapons against the Falcons' questionable defense on Monday Night Football.

Tyrod Taylor, QB, BUF | Salary: $5,000 (DK/FD) - Being named as Buffalo's starter qualifies Taylor as a value pick. Could produce through the air or on the ground. 

Doug Martin, RB, TB | Salary: $4,500 (DK) $6,900 (FD) - At these prices, I'll take Martin all day. This pre-season, we've seen what appears to be the Doug Martin we knew in 2012 and the Bucs could rely heavily on the run with a rookie QB. Could be highly utilized in GPP, so I'd use more in head-to-head.

Alfred Blue, RB, HOU | Salary: $3,600 (DK) $5,800 (FD) - With Arian Foster out, the start will go to Blue and this is a steal for a starting running back. Blue has filled in for Foster before and had some decent numbers. A favorable matchup at home against Kansas City who allowed 127.1 yards per game last season.

Markus Wheaton, WR, PIT | Salary: $3,800 (DK) - With key contributors out, the Steelers are going to need all the help they can get. I expect Wheaton will step up and give you some production at a very nice price point.

Stevie Johnson, WR, BUF | Salary: $3,700 (DK) $4,700 (FD) - Reports say that the rapport between Johnson and QB Phillip Rivers has been very good this training camp. With other wide receivers nursing injuries (although none are expected to miss playing time), Johnson could fill a spot on your roster Week 1 if you wish to improve other positions.